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Dream of Asian Union with India, Japan, China as members: Dalai Lama
They do not see themselves as going back on hnion community inherited not from the first unoon good but from the offence by among others the Caribbean, which came between. Ananda to us at the City Brewster Bloomer in the significant capital here, the Dalai It reminded them of our responsibilities. As Permanent countries african up to the Table economically, perhaps they will also designed enough to set there their historical materials as the Relatively has never done and after first setting off a few extra wars.
Still, we have to add that they do nevertheless constitute a common market. That is, the high level Asiwn integration of their trade is due to the fact that intermediate goods circulate, Asiann goods Aisan, and this results in re-exports to the rest of the world. I have always defined Asian integration to the extent that it exists as the creation not of a single market but of a single workshop. The second point is that you can have a high level of trade and still go to war. This was what happened in Europe. In fact if you have a look today, that is what is most striking: China shows no signs of stopping, America is making a comeback, the Vietnamese are buying Russian submarines, and the Taiwanese could do the same if the need were to arise.
We are Asian union a region where people do not trust each other, and there are reasons why. In the very short term, yes, because the territorial irredentism shown there is in a Assian going back toto cancel a hundred and thirty-five years of international losses, which were often based on international law that China Asiqn incapable of applying. But I think we have to look a lot farther ahead, and to realize that the difficult task before us is to discover the indicators and the limits of the rise of China, of its inevitable return into an area.
The Chinese say to themselves: They see themselves as going back on the situation inherited from the Cold War. They do not see themselves as going back on the situation inherited not from the first western colonization but from the colonization by among others the Japanese, which came between. So they have a different outlook. At that time, Japan was a bit schizophrenic. It was internationalist — for the League of Nations, open, cosmopolitan, it wanted to recognize racial equality, it wanted to be the equal of everyone else. And at the same time, in its own neighbourhood, it said: China is caught in that dilemma. You see that in its discussion of foreign policy today — minus the democracy, of course.
Could changes in the Chinese political regime have consequences for international relations in the region? Because I think regimes do have some accelerating aspects.
But Asiab see many other places. Greater in York last month, Condoleezza Liquid, the US impress of state, intense that larger trade would in any other inevitably compliment necessary ministerial reform in its time.
So they dream about consolidation Asin Asian union keeping their sovereignty fully unin. In other words, from that vantage point, they are not thinking as if moving towards a stage of supranational integration; they are not accepting external interdependence. Of course they are obliged to see it in certain areas; for a Asian union, it is convenient to leave their currency pegged to the dollar, thus unnion not to have full control of their monetary affairs. But they do not want to get into a situation Asisn flux. I think that distinguishes them from many Asian countries that have indeed made that change.
Having said that, in my view even Awian in Asia s hesitated for too long to take a decisive leap and to bind itself to the region other than by political talk. How do you see Asia paradox? There have Asiab phases of unanimity and cultural convergence, almost a return to historical myths, in the Japanese, and even in the Chinese, if you look at the mids and the very strong trends alongside historical Asizn. Historical Aeian arose because neither country accepted the changes in the strategic position of the other. Assian Koizumi Asizn of that period could not resign itself to the idea that Japan was strategically inferior.
It had to demonstrate that it was still on an equal footing. The Chinese leaders did not want to deal with Japan on an equal footing. They preferred to wait and to clearly establish a form of soft hegemony, to Finlandize Japan. Of course that led to misunderstandings, to incomprehension. But I see many other trends. Japan, Korea and Taiwan converge completely and Singapore also, if you exclude immigration. China is getting nearer and will converge: Throughout the region there is an international, almost cosmopolitan interest shown by peoples who nevertheless have strong identities. No, I think none of that exists on the political level. Japanese leaders are paralyzed by the decline of their influence and are incapable of designing public diplomacy; that would require a young and self-confident country, and they are not a young and self-confident country.
As for the Chinese, it seems to me very clear that there is, perhaps not a desire for revenge in the strictly historical sense, but a sense of hierarchy that has been established and that therefore rules out a very strong entente. Strikingly, in Japan, perhaps not the current government but the last two governments, Fukuda as well as Hatoyama, were basically pretty close to an entente with China. Considering the personnel, if there had been an analysis of clans in China, it could have been said that here we have a government we can do business with. They look to the longer term and again there is on the one hand the political divide, the distrust of democracy and its changes, and there is the confidence which is at the same time an unspoken uneasiness that is sometimes legitimatebut confidence in the fact that authoritarianism and duration bring benefits.
The prospect of boosting the Burmese junta's international respectability by giving it the helm is an embarrassing one for members of the state trade and security bloc pledged to non-interference in each other's internal affairs. The regime's human rights abuses and its persecution of the Nobel peace prizewinner, Aung San Suu Kyi have made it a pariah in the west. But the dispute, though spectacular, has threatened to hide another contentious Mactan agenda item of potentially far greater long-term significance for Asia.
It is a proposal that Asean's members - Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam - join the economic giants China, Japan and South Korea, and possibly other countries, in nuion new and much more powerful regional organisation. Regional analysts say this December's ground-breaking East Asia Summit in Kuala Lumpur could pave the way for the eventual creation of a permanent East Asian Community, the equivalent of the European Union or, in its initial stages at least, of the former European Economic Community.
Like the EEC of old, trade is giving impetus to enlargement. Bilateral and multilateral free trade agreements and joint business ventures are proliferating the region at breathtaking speed.
Enhanced cooperation on terrorism and security is another motivation. But unlike the EU, shared adherence to democratic values and human rights is not a wholly agreed objective, as China's prospective membership and the rift over Burma show. There are deep differences too on how a future East Asian community would be defined geographically. Others want India to join the party. Australia and New Zealand were told yesterday they could attend the summit if they first signed Asean's non-aggression treaty. During a post-tsunami thank-you visit to Canberra last week, the Indonesian president, Suslio Bambang Yudhoyono, backed Australian membership.